What Gas Costs
and Why
An independent guide to the price at the pumpData release · 30 September 2026

The evidence behind the price

Western Australia: what changed?

Dated inputs, measured movements and the limits of each comparison.

Why prices changed

Gasoline / petrol

+0.080 AUD/L (+3.535%)

The gasoline price moved from 2.263 on 2026-09-20 to 2.343 on 2026-09-27. The chart reconciles the measured change using the site’s accounting model.

Contribution values
Estimated accounting contributions, AUD/L
ComponentChange
Crude benchmark movement-0.042
Exchange-rate movement+0.013
Refining & distribution residual+0.102
Taxes+0.007
Rounding / unallocated remainder-0.000

Left: decrease. Right: increase. Oil is valued at the earlier FX rate; currency movement uses the later oil price. The downstream residual includes unmeasured costs and timing, not just margins. Taxes can change with prices without a policy change. This is accounting, not proof of causation.

Diesel

+0.134 AUD/L (+5.007%)

The diesel price moved from 2.676 on 2026-09-20 to 2.810 on 2026-09-27. The chart reconciles the measured change using the site’s accounting model.

Contribution values
Estimated accounting contributions, AUD/L
ComponentChange
Crude benchmark movement-0.042
Exchange-rate movement+0.013
Refining & distribution residual+0.151
Taxes+0.012
Rounding / unallocated remainder+0.000

Left: decrease. Right: increase. Oil is valued at the earlier FX rate; currency movement uses the later oil price. The downstream residual includes unmeasured costs and timing, not just margins. Taxes can change with prices without a policy change. This is accounting, not proof of causation.

Reporting around these observation dates

Source headlines provide context. Their presence does not establish what caused the price movement.

No matching source reports are available for this observation interval.

Oil fell. Did the pump follow?

Gasoline / petrol

Does local crude movement line up more closely with pump changes in the same week or later? This compares weekly changes at delays of 0 to 8 weeks over up to five years, using the latest continuous publisher and currency segment.

Pump price and local-currency crude, indexed to 1002026-09-06 to 2026-09-27. Navy is pump price; teal is crude. A data table follows.03264961282026-09-062026-09-27Pump price (navy) · Crude in local currency (teal) · First paired date = 100
Relative movements, not a breakdown of pump costs. Crude is a proxy, not wholesale fuel.
Chart data and publishers (4 observations)
DatePump, AUD/LCrude proxy, local / LPublisher
2026-09-062.0540.893Australian Institute of Petroleum
2026-09-132.1131.035Australian Institute of Petroleum
2026-09-202.2631.057Australian Institute of Petroleum
2026-09-272.3431.028Australian Institute of Petroleum

3 compatible weekly changes; at least 52 are required for lag analysis.

At least 52 compatible weekly changes are needed; each correlation needs 12 pairs and variation in both series. Joins allow one day of reporting-date variation. Missing weeks are not filled. Each later pump change covers one week, not a cumulative response. Correlation does not measure a causal pass-through delay or prove that rises travel faster than falls. No forecast is implied. Benchmark and FX inputs are no more than 10 days old and never from a future date.

Diesel

Does local crude movement line up more closely with pump changes in the same week or later? This compares weekly changes at delays of 0 to 8 weeks over up to five years, using the latest continuous publisher and currency segment.

Pump price and local-currency crude, indexed to 1002026-09-06 to 2026-09-27. Navy is pump price; teal is crude. A data table follows.03264961282026-09-062026-09-27Pump price (navy) · Crude in local currency (teal) · First paired date = 100
Relative movements, not a breakdown of pump costs. Crude is a proxy, not wholesale fuel.
Chart data and publishers (4 observations)
DatePump, AUD/LCrude proxy, local / LPublisher
2026-09-062.4900.893Australian Institute of Petroleum
2026-09-132.5351.035Australian Institute of Petroleum
2026-09-202.6761.057Australian Institute of Petroleum
2026-09-272.8101.028Australian Institute of Petroleum

3 compatible weekly changes; at least 52 are required for lag analysis.

At least 52 compatible weekly changes are needed; each correlation needs 12 pairs and variation in both series. Joins allow one day of reporting-date variation. Missing weeks are not filled. Each later pump change covers one week, not a cumulative response. Correlation does not measure a causal pass-through delay or prove that rises travel faster than falls. No forecast is implied. Benchmark and FX inputs are no more than 10 days old and never from a future date.

Policy dates alongside prices

Gasoline / petrol
AUD per litre, with policy event dates2026-09-06 to 2026-09-27. Dashed lines mark verified policy events; they do not establish causation. A data table follows.0.000.631.271.902.532026-09-062026-09-27Australian Institute of Petroleum · AUD/L
No curated policy events fall within the displayed price history.
Chart data and publishers (4 observations)
DatePump, AUD/LPublisher
2026-09-062.054Australian Institute of Petroleum
2026-09-132.113Australian Institute of Petroleum
2026-09-202.263Australian Institute of Petroleum
2026-09-272.343Australian Institute of Petroleum

2022-03-30

Australian fuel excise temporarily halved

Temporary measure from 30 March through 28 September 2022. A numeric household estimate is withheld until the applicable before and after rates are recorded.

A monetary impact is not estimated from the available verified rates.

Australian Parliamentary Budget Office

2022-09-29

Australian temporary excise reduction ended

The temporary six-month reduction ended. Indexation means restoration should not be assumed to equal the original cut.

A monetary impact is not estimated from the available verified rates.

Australian Parliamentary Budget Office

Event coverage is selective. Source tax-rate snapshots are not automatically treated as legal changes. Upcoming recorded tax dates · All regional tax records

Diesel
AUD per litre, with policy event dates2026-09-06 to 2026-09-27. Dashed lines mark verified policy events; they do not establish causation. A data table follows.0.000.761.522.283.032026-09-062026-09-27Australian Institute of Petroleum · AUD/L
No curated policy events fall within the displayed price history.
Chart data and publishers (4 observations)
DatePump, AUD/LPublisher
2026-09-062.490Australian Institute of Petroleum
2026-09-132.535Australian Institute of Petroleum
2026-09-202.676Australian Institute of Petroleum
2026-09-272.810Australian Institute of Petroleum

2022-03-30

Australian fuel excise temporarily halved

Temporary measure from 30 March through 28 September 2022. A numeric household estimate is withheld until the applicable before and after rates are recorded.

A monetary impact is not estimated from the available verified rates.

Australian Parliamentary Budget Office

2022-09-29

Australian temporary excise reduction ended

The temporary six-month reduction ended. Indexation means restoration should not be assumed to equal the original cut.

A monetary impact is not estimated from the available verified rates.

Australian Parliamentary Budget Office

Event coverage is selective. Source tax-rate snapshots are not automatically treated as legal changes. Upcoming recorded tax dates · All regional tax records

Source receipts

Gasoline / petrol

Publisher: Australian Institute of Petroleum. Observation: 2026-09-27. Last successful publisher refresh: 2026-09-30 07:43:10 UTC. Observation ingestion: 2026-09-30 07:41:41 UTC.

Original value: 234.3 AUD cents/L. Display: 2.343000 AUD/L. Method: derived.

Crude input
Brent 114.89 USD/barrel, 2026-09-22
Display currency FX
USD_AUD 1.42243269, 2026-09-25
Source currency FX
USD_AUD 1.42243269, 2026-09-25
Reuse terms
AIP / MotorMouth. Attribute; review republication terms

Derived method: crude = USD/barrel / 158.987 * local currency/USD; yield factor 1.0; downstream = price - taxes - crude. Currency conversion uses display FX / source FX; US gallons convert at 3.785411784 L. Missing inputs are never zero. Benchmark availability alone does not imply a complete component breakdown. Full methodology.

Download receipts and calculation inputs · Historical observations

Publication and revision history (3 saved versions)

Tracking begins with this feature’s first export. A new observation is a publication; a changed value for the same observation date is a revision. This is our publication history, not a complete publisher revision archive. At most 30 versions per fuel are shown; the canonical database retains all recorded versions.

Recorded (UTC)ObservationPrice / LVersion
2026-09-30T07:44:54.843333Z2026-09-272.343000 AUD2a9af43396d9
2026-09-24T13:02:09Z2026-09-202.263000 AUD7d9786823756
2026-09-23T06:02:23Z2026-09-202.263000 AUD00d93fbf6cba
Diesel

Publisher: Australian Institute of Petroleum. Observation: 2026-09-27. Last successful publisher refresh: 2026-09-30 07:43:10 UTC. Observation ingestion: 2026-09-30 07:42:53 UTC.

Original value: 281 AUD cents/L. Display: 2.810000 AUD/L. Method: derived.

Crude input
Brent 114.89 USD/barrel, 2026-09-22
Display currency FX
USD_AUD 1.42243269, 2026-09-25
Source currency FX
USD_AUD 1.42243269, 2026-09-25
Reuse terms
AIP / MotorMouth. Attribute; review republication terms

Derived method: crude = USD/barrel / 158.987 * local currency/USD; yield factor 1.0; downstream = price - taxes - crude. Currency conversion uses display FX / source FX; US gallons convert at 3.785411784 L. Missing inputs are never zero. Benchmark availability alone does not imply a complete component breakdown. Full methodology.

Download receipts and calculation inputs · Historical observations

Publication and revision history (3 saved versions)

Tracking begins with this feature’s first export. A new observation is a publication; a changed value for the same observation date is a revision. This is our publication history, not a complete publisher revision archive. At most 30 versions per fuel are shown; the canonical database retains all recorded versions.

Recorded (UTC)ObservationPrice / LVersion
2026-09-30T07:44:54.849198Z2026-09-272.810000 AUD226e437920a1
2026-09-24T13:02:09Z2026-09-202.676000 AUDecb2b94eeb4e
2026-09-23T06:02:23Z2026-09-202.676000 AUDb5965593b68f

Western Australia price overview · Embed this region’s chart